MLB Projections vs Game Statistics

Here is a comparison of our fantasy baseball projections with actual end-of-year statistics for the first 18 players on our sample MLB projections page. The preseason MLB player projections are in blue, and the 2004 end-of-year statistics appear directly under them in black.  As always, there were a few surprises, but, overall, our system did a very good job of projecting player rankings for this league.

Could you have benefited from having access to this kind of customized, league-specific fantasy baseball information prior to your preseason draft for the 2004 season?  Does your current source of fantasy baseball projections provide essential diagnostic statistics in addition to the statistics for your scoring categories?

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FANTASY BASEBALL
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2004 PROJECTIONS vs. ACTUAL STATISTICS FOR MLB 3B Players
(Scoring Categories = BAVG, OPS, RUNS, HR, RBI, SB%)

PLAYER

SOURCE

PRORANK

R$

TOOLS

EYE

AB

BAVG

OPS

RUNS

RBI

HR

SB%

Rolen, Scott

Projections

74

31

   60

   .69

   570

  .295

   .944

   95

  105

   37

   .80

MLB Actual

74

31

58

.78

500

.314

.998

109

124

34

.57

Rodriguez, A

Projections

74

31

47

.65

599

.280

.920

107

109

44

.76

MLB Actual

65

28

27

.61

601

.286

.883

112

106

36

.88

Huff, Aubrey

Projections

68

29

50

.63

630

.321

.898

86

108

28

.40

MLB Actual

56

25

28

.76

600

.297

.850

92

104

29

.83

Lowell, Mike

Projections

64

    28

   51

   .69

   553

  .293

   .905

   76

  112

   36

   .75

MLB Actual

50

23

36

.83

598

.293

.866

87

85

27

.83

Chavez, Eric

Projections

63

    27

   48

   .61

   586

  .287

   .896

   92

  105

   35

   .70

MLB Actual

40

20

31

.96

475

.276

.898

87

77

29

.67

Blalock, Hank

Projections

50

    23

   39

   .57

   594

  .290

   .862

   87

   90

   30

   .50

MLB Actual

51

23

24

.50

624

.276

.853

107

110

32

.50

Mueller, Bill

Projections

43

    21

   49

  1.03

   542

  .317

   .886

   85

   73

   16

   .25

MLB Actual

15

11

22

.91

399

.283

.811

75

57

12

.50

Ramirez, Aramis

Projections

42

    21

   31

   .41

   542

  .280

   .840

   64

   97

   32

   .60

MLB Actual

59

26

53

.79

547

.318

.952

99

103

36

.00

Hinske, Eric

Projections

39

    20

   35

   .54

   482

  .276

   .861

   77

   82

   22

   .81

MLB Actual

1

7

-13

.50

570

.246

.686

66

69

15

.60

Spiezio, Scott

Projections

38

    19

   34

   .87

   552

  .275

   .828

   79

  100

   23

   .60

MLB Actual

-15

1

-23

.60

367

.215

.631

38

41

10

.80

Randa, Joe  

Projections

37

    19

   19

   .61

   536

  .285

   .789

   69

   80

   17

  1.00

MLB Actual

0

6

4

.52

485

.287

.749

65

56

8

.00

Ensberg, Morgan

Projections

33

    18

   24

   .75

   483

  .275

   .831

   78

   68

   24

   .71

MLB Actual

7

9

7

.78

411

.275

.745

51

66

10

.60

Glaus, Troy 

Projections

33

    18

   21

   .67

   534

  .249

   .822

   81

  105

   31

   .58

MLB Actual

4

8

39

.60

207

.251

.924

47

42

18

.40

Polanco, Placido

Projections

31

    17

   28

   .89

   478

  .297

   .793

   79

   53

   14

   .82

MLB Actual

23

14

14

.69

503

.298

.775

74

55

17

.64

Alfonzo, Edgardo

Projections

29

    16

   29

  1.18

   485

  .285

   .797

   66

   71

   15

   .83

MLB Actual

16

12

16

.11

519

.289

.753

66

77

11

.50

Burroughs, Sean

Projections

26

    15

   17

   .69

   532

  .301

   .785

   67

   58

    9

   .70

MLB Actual

6

9

-6

.60

523

.298

.703

76

47

2

.56

Koskie, Corey

Projections

26

    15

   19

   .63

   502

  .271

   .819

   79

   72

   18

   .59

MLB Actual

23

14

18

.48

422

.251

.824

68

71

25

.75

Cabrera, Miguel

Projections

22

    14

   19

   .43

   557

  .259

   .794

   76

   89

   20

   .50

MLB Actual

61

27

27

.46

603

.294

.878

101

112

33

.71